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Red321
6367113.5
4555122.6
7133100.8
Blue370
3609121.1
1247119.8
5633123.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293270100200400500600321370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4555
#29
122.61.3
120.1121.5
Auto17.2
Teleop94.6
End9.4
blue by 1.3
5633
#15
123.91.1
125.6124.5
Auto17.8
Teleop92.7
End11.6
Second
6367
#22
113.50.8
108.6109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop87.6
End11.5
blue by 7.6
3609
#13
121.11.3
118.0119.3
Auto14.4
Teleop89.2
End19.6
Third
7133
#34
100.80.0
100.3100.4
Auto16.7
Teleop75.5
End7.3
blue by 19.0
1247
#16
119.80.9
117.4118.3
Auto14.8
Teleop99.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed