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Red377
1519179.2
731486.8
5506116.8
Blue190
3451122.9
1786101.3
4958122.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272400100200400500600700377190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.22.4
171.3173.7
Auto23.0
Teleop137.8
End17.0
red by 56.2
4958
#19
122.90.3
123.5123.1
Auto15.3
Teleop91.1
End17.0
Second
5506
#18
116.80.7
113.2113.9
Auto14.6
Teleop86.6
End15.6
blue by 6.0
3451
#31
122.91.1
120.9121.9
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End18.8
Third
7314
#20
86.80.8
84.985.7
Auto12.3
Teleop69.1
End9.7
blue by 14.5
1786
#38
101.30.5
100.3100.8
Auto15.5
Teleop80.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed