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Red176
3499102.2
3597113.3
6690118.9
Blue300
1073147.4
1721136.2
332395.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443390100200300400500600176300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6690
#33
118.90.5
120.2119.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.4
End14.6
blue by 28.4
1073
#10
147.41.0
144.5145.6
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
3597
#24
113.31.4
111.0112.4
Auto13.5
Teleop88.2
End11.6
blue by 22.9
1721
#12
136.22.4
129.6132.0
Auto16.7
Teleop102.5
End20.7
Third
3499
#40
102.20.0
102.6102.7
Auto13.5
Teleop77.7
End12.0
red by 6.4
3323
#26
95.80.1
94.994.8
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed