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Red458
1519179.2
319219.0
4555122.6
Blue237
1073147.4
1071137.2
332395.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454214100300400500600700800458237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
219.00.5
217.0217.6
Auto27.3
Teleop154.5
End37.8
red by 71.6
1073
#10
147.40.3
146.9147.1
Auto15.6
Teleop116.1
End15.2
Second
179.20.5
177.4177.9
Auto23.0
Teleop137.8
End17.0
red by 42.0
137.20.7
135.9136.6
Auto14.3
Teleop104.5
End18.5
Third
4555
#29
122.60.1
122.9122.8
Auto17.2
Teleop94.6
End9.4
red by 26.8
3323
#26
95.80.3
95.395.5
Auto14.8
Teleop73.0
End7.2