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Red315
5687181.7
238175.0
1517121.5
Blue286
1058172.7
6933159.3
6691116.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653080100200400500600700315286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.70.4
181.0181.4
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 9.0
172.70.7
171.4172.1
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
Second
238
#1
175.00.7
173.6174.3
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 15.7
159.30.5
158.3158.8
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
Third
1517
#21
121.50.0
121.6121.5
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
red by 4.9
6691
#32
116.60.2
116.9116.7
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7