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Red356
5687181.7
238175.0
1517121.5
Blue122
3205112.0
3958119.1
155109.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4281690100300500600700800356122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.70.5
179.0179.5
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 62.6
3958
#13
119.10.3
119.7119.4
Auto19.3
Teleop91.0
End8.6
Second
238
#1
175.01.0
169.4170.4
Auto23.5
Teleop132.0
End20.8
red by 63.0
3205
#29
112.00.1
112.2112.1
Auto14.8
Teleop85.0
End11.6
Third
1517
#21
121.50.1
121.9121.8
Auto13.9
Teleop93.3
End13.9
red by 11.6
155
#30
109.90.2
109.5109.7
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5