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Red322
138151.9
5471107.1
1073134.3
Blue177
5686122.6
151102.8
1289126.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992180100400500322177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#10
151.92.5
137.6140.1
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
red by 25.9
1289
#15
126.02.2
115.0117.1
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
Second
1073
#12
134.34.8
126.1130.9
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
red by 11.7
5686
#23
122.60.9
118.1119.0
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
Third
5471
#28
107.10.5
101.5102.0
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
red by 4.3
151
#33
102.81.8
107.4109.2
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed