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Red342
811141.2
1289126.0
155109.9
Blue239
1512111.8
3323101.2
5686122.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042200100400500342239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#7
141.22.2
134.3136.5
Auto17.1
Teleop106.0
End14.9
red by 18.6
5686
#23
122.60.0
119.0119.0
Auto14.8
Teleop99.1
End6.8
Second
1289
#15
126.00.9
117.1118.0
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
red by 14.2
1512
#25
111.80.2
105.0104.8
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
Third
155
#30
109.91.7
111.7109.9
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
red by 8.7
3323
#31
101.20.8
95.996.7
Auto14.2
Teleop78.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed