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Red505
95154.0
1512111.8
1058172.7
Blue249
2876138.9
2342136.7
5471107.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328234100200300400500600505249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.6
159.2158.6
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
red by 33.8
138.90.8
139.6138.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.9
End15.5
Second
95
#5
154.05.6
133.8139.3
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
red by 17.3
136.72.8
124.2127.0
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
Third
1512
#25
111.81.3
104.8106.1
Auto17.0
Teleop89.3
End2.0
red by 4.7
5471
#28
107.10.2
103.2103.0
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed