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Red206
138151.9
1307124.6
155109.9
Blue211
5265117.5
5556100.8
1073134.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442170100300400500600206211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#10
151.94.0
142.9146.9
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
red by 17.6
1073
#12
134.31.2
135.2136.4
Auto15.0
Teleop106.0
End9.6
Second
1307
#24
124.64.2
118.7122.9
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
red by 7.1
5265
#20
117.50.7
113.0113.7
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Third
155
#30
109.90.3
109.9109.6
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
red by 9.1
5556
#18
100.80.3
94.294.4
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed