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Red60
731491.4
5459115.5
1307124.6
Blue316
1247105.7
6324116.2
2342136.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232276010020040050060060316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1307
#24
124.60.3
125.1125.4
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
blue by 12.1
136.72.0
129.2131.3
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
Second
5459
#26
115.50.8
113.0113.8
Auto11.2
Teleop88.3
End18.2
blue by 0.6
6324
#11
116.23.2
122.0118.8
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
Third
7314
#35
91.41.5
95.794.2
Auto10.8
Teleop76.7
End2.6
blue by 14.4
1247
#16
105.70.8
105.9105.1
Auto12.9
Teleop91.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
2%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed