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Red203
151102.8
2342136.7
1307124.6
Blue322
5459115.5
155109.9
5471107.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082210100400500600203322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.72.5
131.3133.8
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
red by 21.1
5459
#26
115.50.4
113.8114.2
Auto11.2
Teleop88.3
End18.2
Second
1307
#24
124.60.4
125.4125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop98.3
End8.5
red by 14.7
155
#30
109.90.3
107.7108.0
Auto14.1
Teleop86.2
End7.5
Third
151
#33
102.81.6
105.7104.1
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
blue by 4.3
5471
#28
107.10.7
104.3105.0
Auto11.0
Teleop86.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed4%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed