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Red392
1247105.7
5687181.7
1289126.0
Blue180
6324116.2
6933159.3
5556100.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232630100200400500600392180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.71.5
175.9177.5
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 22.4
159.33.8
150.9154.7
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
Second
1289
#15
126.01.1
123.6124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
red by 9.8
6324
#11
116.20.7
118.8118.1
Auto21.2
Teleop88.5
End2.3
Third
1247
#16
105.70.2
105.1105.3
Auto12.9
Teleop91.2
End1.0
red by 4.9
5556
#18
100.81.8
96.798.5
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed