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Red312
5265117.5
95154.0
2342136.7
Blue101
151102.8
1474107.2
3930130.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3581920100300400500600700312101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#5
154.01.4
151.3152.7
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
red by 23.8
3930
#17
130.20.1
130.7130.8
Auto14.4
Teleop102.8
End10.9
Second
136.71.9
133.8135.6
Auto16.5
Teleop106.2
End16.3
red by 29.4
1474
#22
107.21.3
108.5107.2
Auto16.8
Teleop79.9
End8.2
Third
5265
#20
117.51.5
115.1116.7
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End16.8
red by 14.7
151
#33
102.81.3
104.1102.8
Auto13.5
Teleop88.1
End-1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed