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Red265
5687181.7
131130.2
590298.0
Blue116
731491.4
1289126.0
138151.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302370100200300400500600265116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.71.6
177.5179.0
Auto22.3
Teleop140.9
End17.8
red by 29.9
138
#10
151.90.1
152.5152.4
Auto16.9
Teleop118.8
End13.4
Second
131
#6
130.21.0
128.3129.2
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
red by 4.2
1289
#15
126.01.1
124.7125.9
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End16.8
Third
5902
#27
98.01.0
97.198.0
Auto12.6
Teleop80.1
End5.9
red by 6.7
7314
#35
91.41.4
92.891.4
Auto10.8
Teleop76.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed