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Red319
1058172.7
6933159.3
6691116.6
Blue246
131130.2
95154.0
5556100.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342247100200300400500600319246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.7
170.1170.8
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
red by 18.7
95
#5
154.00.2
153.6153.8
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
Second
159.30.5
157.4157.9
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
red by 29.1
131
#6
130.20.1
129.9130.0
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
Third
6691
#32
116.60.3
117.3117.1
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
red by 15.8
5556
#18
100.80.3
100.2100.5
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6