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Red408
1058172.7
6933159.3
6691116.6
Blue139
131130.2
95154.0
5556100.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344250100200300400500600408139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.70.6
170.8171.4
Auto16.4
Teleop126.9
End30.0
red by 18.7
95
#5
154.00.2
153.8154.0
Auto19.5
Teleop124.1
End9.9
Second
159.30.5
157.9158.3
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End16.7
red by 29.1
131
#6
130.20.2
130.0130.2
Auto16.2
Teleop100.5
End12.7
Third
6691
#32
116.60.2
117.1116.9
Auto14.0
Teleop90.0
End11.7
red by 15.8
5556
#18
100.80.3
100.5100.8
Auto14.5
Teleop77.0
End10.6