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Qual 112018 Mayhem in Merrimack
Red294
868760.1
3623169.1
1729152.3
Blue390
5687197.6
6328159.9
501119.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843560100200400500600294390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#14
169.10.0
169.1→169.1
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
blue by 28.5
5687
#3
197.60.0
197.6→197.6
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
Second
1729
#4
152.30.0
152.3→152.3
Auto17.6
Teleop118.0
End17.5
blue by 7.6
6328
#9
159.90.0
159.9→159.9
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
Third
8687
#22
60.10.0
60.1→60.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 59.3
501
#24
119.40.0
119.4→119.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.0
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds