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Red383
1289141.6
1519187.9
6328159.9
Blue430
319220.3
5813176.9
3467125.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315387100200500600700383430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#12
187.90.0
187.9187.9
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
blue by 32.4
319
#2
220.30.0
220.3220.3
Auto24.6
Teleop159.7
End35.9
Second
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
blue by 16.9
176.90.0
176.9176.9
Auto22.1
Teleop138.5
End22.0
Third
1289
#15
141.60.0
141.6141.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
red by 16.3
3467
#11
125.30.0
125.3125.3
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss odds40%Face the Boss odds