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Red282
5962118.3
1922112.9
1768134.6
Blue384
2713134.1
3236162.7
3623169.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2554190100200300500600282384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#16
134.60.0
134.6134.6
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 34.5
3623
#14
169.10.0
169.1169.1
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Second
5962
#19
118.30.0
118.3118.3
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
blue by 44.5
162.70.0
162.7162.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
Third
112.90.0
112.9112.9
Auto15.8
Teleop81.6
End16.2
blue by 21.2
134.10.0
134.1134.1
Auto20.9
Teleop96.3
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds86%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds