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Red281
1922121.3
6328167.0
1519185.3
Blue486
319217.4
131173.3
5813184.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274433100200400500600700281486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#20
185.30.1
185.2185.3
Auto21.0
Teleop145.2
End17.7
blue by 32.1
319
#18
217.40.2
217.6217.4
Auto24.9
Teleop160.3
End33.0
Second
167.00.7
166.3167.0
Auto22.0
Teleop122.8
End23.6
blue by 17.7
5813
#13
184.60.1
184.5184.6
Auto21.5
Teleop142.1
End21.7
Third
121.30.6
120.7121.3
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
blue by 52.0
131
#2
173.30.6
172.7173.3
Auto17.3
Teleop139.5
End19.5