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Red322
509149.5
166131.1
2876133.4
Blue269
238182.1
88166.2
1922121.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643730100200300500600700322269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#21
149.51.2
151.7150.5
Auto17.3
Teleop107.6
End23.4
blue by 32.6
238
#19
182.11.3
185.8184.5
Auto16.0
Teleop146.5
End19.9
Second
2876
#27
133.42.1
137.6135.5
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.1
blue by 32.9
88
#28
166.22.7
173.3170.6
Auto22.6
Teleop128.7
End13.7
Third
166
#14Sur
131.10.3
128.6128.9
Auto17.4
Teleop100.3
End13.4
red by 9.8
1922
#5Sur
121.31.3
114.4115.7
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed