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Red381
138147.6
1058154.1
125204.0
Blue128
1729155.5
6762112.2
238182.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662590100200300500600700800381128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
204.00.9
204.6203.7
Auto23.7
Teleop163.0
End15.8
red by 21.9
238
#19
182.11.3
184.5183.2
Auto16.0
Teleop146.5
End19.9
Second
1058
#12
154.10.2
153.4153.6
Auto15.8
Teleop120.8
End16.6
blue by 1.3
1729
#10
155.51.2
154.2155.4
Auto17.5
Teleop120.2
End19.2
Third
138
#16
147.61.5
149.1147.6
Auto19.4
Teleop114.1
End10.3
red by 35.4
6762
#26
112.20.6
112.8112.2
Auto14.7
Teleop87.3
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed