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Red219
1735105.6
319217.4
3467122.6
Blue348
166131.1
1922121.3
1058154.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682540100200300500600700800219348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#18
217.41.2
224.3223.1
Auto24.9
Teleop160.3
End33.0
red by 63.3
1058
#12
154.10.7
151.4152.1
Auto15.8
Teleop120.8
End16.6
Second
3467
#22
122.60.2
124.9124.7
Auto15.9
Teleop97.1
End12.7
blue by 8.4
166
#14
131.10.5
129.1128.6
Auto17.4
Teleop100.3
End13.4
Third
1735
#17
105.60.9
108.2107.3
Auto16.2
Teleop79.9
End8.6
blue by 15.7
121.30.9
113.5114.4
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed