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Semifinal 1-12018 RiverRage 22
Red404
1922121.3
6328167.0
1519185.3
Blue183
1729155.5
811139.6
6763162.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483040100200400500600404183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#20
185.30.3
185.8→185.5
Auto21.0
Teleop145.2
End17.7
red by 22.8
6763
#25
162.50.4
162.9→162.5
Auto17.9
Teleop126.4
End16.5
Second
6328
#1
167.00.5
163.9→164.5
Auto22.0
Teleop122.8
End23.6
red by 11.5
1729
#10
155.50.0
155.7→155.6
Auto17.5
Teleop120.2
End19.2
Third
1922
#5
121.30.4
118.7→119.2
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
blue by 18.3
811
#6
139.60.4
140.8→140.4
Auto22.5
Teleop103.5
End13.3