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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Brunswick Eruption
Red361
303187.7
1923187.5
1676159.1
Blue281
533164.6
9999134.2
219145.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40128502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600361281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#10
187.70.1
187.3→187.3
Auto22.1
Teleop134.8
End29.3
red by 23.1
533
#12
164.60.1
164.8→164.7
Auto18.0
Teleop121.2
End22.3
Second
1923
#3
187.50.1
186.9→187.0
Auto24.6
Teleop148.7
End13.4
red by 42.1
219
#27
145.40.4
146.3→145.9
Auto21.9
Teleop109.8
End10.7
Third
1676
#35
159.10.5
161.1→160.6
Auto16.5
Teleop113.4
End28.3
red by 24.8
9999
#6
134.20.8
132.7→133.5
Auto20.2
Teleop104.7
End9.7