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Red319
193125.9
2495127.3
9986115.3
Blue451
2590223.2
1279146.2
6327116.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503900200600800319451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#39
127.30.1
126.8126.9
Auto15.6
Teleop94.1
End18.7
blue by 96.0
223.20.1
222.4222.3
Auto21.5
Teleop169.2
End31.8
Second
193
#30
125.90.5
124.7125.2
Auto16.4
Teleop94.7
End12.7
blue by 20.3
1279
#33
146.22.1
149.5147.4
Auto18.2
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Third
9986
#25
115.31.2
112.9114.1
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End8.3
blue by 0.9
6327
#11
116.22.0
119.8117.8
Auto16.9
Teleop84.9
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsEarned