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Red179
4505119.7
1676159.1
4652113.9
Blue411
527160.7
9999134.2
193125.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306320200250350400179411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#35
159.10.1
165.9166.0
Auto16.5
Teleop113.4
End28.3
blue by 1.6
527
#22
160.70.8
160.5159.7
Auto19.5
Teleop122.3
End19.4
Second
4505
#43
119.70.6
126.6126.0
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End7.4
blue by 14.5
134.20.5
126.0125.6
Auto20.2
Teleop104.7
End9.7
Third
4652
#34
113.90.7
115.3116.0
Auto14.2
Teleop91.0
End6.8
blue by 12.0
193
#30
125.90.4
123.0122.6
Auto16.4
Teleop94.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed