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Red384
341180.3
694210.3
222163.0
Blue317
303187.7
1923187.5
1676159.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39132802006008001,000384317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
210.30.0
210.2210.3
Auto21.7
Teleop162.8
End23.2
red by 22.6
303
#10
187.70.1
187.5187.6
Auto22.1
Teleop134.8
End29.3
Second
341
#21
180.30.2
181.2180.9
Auto21.1
Teleop137.0
End16.2
blue by 7.2
187.50.1
187.2187.4
Auto24.6
Teleop148.7
End13.4
Third
222
#32
163.00.9
166.3165.4
Auto21.8
Teleop120.7
End16.2
red by 3.9
1676
#35
159.10.4
159.8159.4
Auto16.5
Teleop113.4
End28.3