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Red309
1923188.3
2590186.5
686099.0
Blue306
56181.8
303186.5
6945116.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338380100200300500600700309306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.30.6
187.3187.9
Auto27.4
Teleop141.9
End22.0
red by 1.9
303
#3
186.50.3
186.0186.3
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End28.5
Second
186.50.3
185.9186.3
Auto21.9
Teleop131.9
End35.7
red by 4.7
56
#4
181.80.7
180.4181.2
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
Third
6860
#36
99.00.0
99.099.0
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
blue by 17.8
6945
#26
116.80.1
116.6116.8
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0