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Red375
2607168.8
4652115.3
6016111.3
Blue179
219136.0
1257150.3
2554117.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306302200250350375179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
168.80.0
168.7168.7
Auto19.6
Teleop124.0
End26.4
red by 18.5
150.30.3
149.7150.0
Auto21.8
Teleop110.0
End22.1
Second
115.30.2
114.5114.7
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
blue by 20.7
219
#12
136.00.1
135.6135.7
Auto21.6
Teleop105.7
End8.9
Third
6016
#16
111.30.5
109.7110.2
Auto16.1
Teleop83.6
End13.1
blue by 6.5
2554
#22
117.90.1
118.1118.1
Auto17.6
Teleop84.3
End15.7