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Red505
56181.8
303186.5
6945116.8
Blue116
714111.9
4035112.6
1811135.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4272120100300500600700505116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#3
186.50.1
185.0185.1
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End28.5
red by 51.3
1811
#24
135.20.4
136.1135.7
Auto14.6
Teleop104.4
End13.6
Second
56
#4
181.80.7
176.7177.5
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
red by 69.2
4035
#11
112.60.5
111.7112.2
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
Third
6945
#26
116.80.1
116.5116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0
red by 4.9
714
#29
111.90.1
111.7111.9
Auto14.6
Teleop87.4
End10.6