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Red335
3314153.9
747159.3
102130.7
Blue322
1989149.4
1676137.6
224131.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371292100200400500600335322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#5
159.30.4
157.7158.1
Auto19.6
Teleop122.6
End18.4
red by 9.9
1989
#21
149.40.3
148.9149.2
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
Second
153.90.3
154.9154.6
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
red by 16.3
137.60.3
137.1137.4
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End24.8
Third
102
#14
130.70.2
129.8130.0
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End16.9
blue by 1.1
224
#27
131.80.1
132.0131.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0