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Red285
1989149.4
102130.7
303186.5
Blue361
4573131.4
219136.0
224131.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356260100200300400500285361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#3
186.50.3
175.6175.9
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End28.5
red by 50.5
219
#12
136.00.7
134.1133.4
Auto21.6
Teleop105.7
End8.9
Second
1989
#21
149.40.1
138.0137.9
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
red by 17.6
224
#27
131.816.0
74.590.5
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
Third
102
#14
130.714.4
89.3103.6
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End16.9
blue by 0.6
4573
#31
131.414.3
90.4104.7
Auto17.2
Teleop97.4
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed