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Red290
56181.8
5992122.1
1676137.6
Blue406
3314153.9
6897112.9
2607168.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313660100200300400500600290406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
181.86.0
126.4132.4
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
red by 13.0
2607
#10
168.81.0
161.3162.2
Auto19.6
Teleop124.0
End26.4
Second
137.60.7
125.2125.9
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End24.8
blue by 16.3
153.90.4
159.5159.1
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
Third
5992
#17
122.14.7
87.091.7
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End19.0
red by 9.2
6897
#13
112.97.0
86.193.1
Auto17.0
Teleop83.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned