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Red138
224131.8
566693.8
75134.0
Blue421
1811135.2
1923188.3
2590186.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463950100200300500600138421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#15
134.03.3
125.9129.2
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
blue by 54.4
188.31.3
168.3169.6
Auto27.4
Teleop141.9
End22.0
Second
224
#27
131.88.5
113.6122.2
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
blue by 54.7
186.57.9
147.9155.8
Auto21.9
Teleop131.9
End35.7
Third
5666
#32
93.81.2
99.8101.0
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
blue by 41.4
1811
#24
135.26.2
115.1121.3
Auto14.6
Teleop104.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed