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Red100
334091.3
3515114.7
75134.0
Blue442
6945116.8
56181.8
6016111.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263286100150200350400450100442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#15
134.00.4
129.2129.6
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
blue by 47.8
56
#4
181.86.8
138.3145.2
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
Second
3515
#23
114.72.3
102.8105.1
Auto16.2
Teleop82.8
End19.5
blue by 2.1
6945
#26
116.81.0
111.0112.0
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0
Third
3340
#35
91.30.8
102.6101.8
Auto14.8
Teleop66.4
End7.8
blue by 20.0
6016
#16
111.31.0
101.6100.6
Auto16.1
Teleop83.6
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed