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Red371
4035112.6
2590186.5
6016111.3
Blue191
6203136.4
686099.0
4281100.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331224100200300400500371191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.53.0
162.3165.2
Auto21.9
Teleop131.9
End35.7
red by 50.1
6203
#18DQ
136.40.6
130.0129.4
Auto12.5
Teleop101.0
End24.5
Second
4035
#11
112.61.4
101.6103.0
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
red by 11.6
4281
#28
100.91.8
101.6103.5
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End6.4
Third
6016
#16
111.30.5
100.6101.0
Auto16.1
Teleop83.6
End13.1
red by 12.3
6860
#36
99.00.3
100.199.8
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed