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Red396
6945116.8
219136.0
1989149.4
Blue132
714111.9
3314153.9
566693.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298297150250350396132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#21
149.41.6
140.2141.8
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
blue by 4.5
153.90.7
161.1161.7
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
Second
219
#12
136.00.8
136.0136.8
Auto21.6
Teleop105.7
End8.9
red by 24.1
714
#29
111.95.2
113.2118.4
Auto14.6
Teleop87.4
End10.6
Third
6945
#26
116.82.1
112.0114.2
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0
red by 23.1
5666
#32
93.80.5
100.299.7
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed