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Red281
6016111.3
75134.0
4652115.3
Blue131
6943113.2
224131.8
6897112.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281272150200250300350281131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#15
134.00.6
126.6127.2
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
red by 2.1
224
#27
131.81.0
131.8132.8
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
Second
115.31.1
108.7109.8
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
red by 2.1
6943
#25
113.20.7
111.6112.2
Auto14.6
Teleop81.6
End17.4
Third
6016
#16
111.31.6
103.5105.0
Auto16.1
Teleop83.6
End13.1
blue by 1.6
6897
#13
112.91.0
113.6114.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed