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Red343
686099.0
56181.8
75134.0
Blue229
4573131.4
4281100.9
1989149.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317287150200250350400450343229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#4
181.83.5
167.2170.7
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
red by 32.4
1989
#21
149.41.6
145.8147.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
Second
75
#15
134.02.0
127.2129.1
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
red by 2.6
4573
#31
131.40.3
130.5130.8
Auto17.2
Teleop97.4
End16.6
Third
6860
#36
99.00.3
99.599.2
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
blue by 1.9
4281
#28
100.90.5
101.7102.3
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed