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Red402
1923188.3
6943113.2
4035112.6
Blue122
224131.8
4281100.9
5992122.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328260100200300400500402122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.32.3
178.5180.8
Auto27.4
Teleop141.9
End22.0
red by 56.5
224
#27
131.80.5
132.3132.8
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
Second
6943
#25
113.20.1
112.3112.4
Auto14.6
Teleop81.6
End17.4
blue by 9.0
5992
#17
122.11.5
120.8122.4
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End19.0
Third
4035
#11
112.60.9
109.3110.1
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
red by 11.6
4281
#28
100.90.2
102.3102.1
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed