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Red320
219136.0
5992122.1
6943113.2
Blue188
6945116.8
1676137.6
75134.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260309100200400500320188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#12
136.00.3
133.4133.8
Auto21.6
Teleop105.7
End8.9
blue by 1.6
137.61.7
123.5125.2
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End24.8
Second
5992
#17
122.16.9
80.287.0
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End19.0
blue by 11.8
75
#15
134.08.4
113.8122.2
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Third
6943
#25
113.20.0
109.1109.1
Auto14.6
Teleop81.6
End17.4
blue by 3.7
6945
#26
116.80.1
111.0111.1
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed