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Red468
56181.8
303186.5
6945116.8
Blue282
3314153.9
747159.3
102130.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391305200500600468282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#3
186.50.2
185.5185.7
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End28.5
red by 27.2
747
#5
159.30.3
158.9159.3
Auto19.6
Teleop122.6
End18.4
Second
56
#4
181.80.7
179.0179.7
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
red by 27.8
153.90.2
154.2153.9
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
Third
6945
#26
116.80.1
116.5116.5
Auto14.7
Teleop89.6
End12.0
blue by 13.9
102
#14
130.70.2
130.5130.7
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End16.9