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Red295
341182.7
365192.3
2495126.4
Blue347
694212.8
1218179.2
1626157.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30541502006008001,000295347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
192.30.0
192.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
blue by 20.5
694
#17
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Second
341
#28
182.70.0
182.7182.7
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
red by 3.6
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
Third
2495
#29
126.40.0
126.4126.4
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 31.2
1626
#12
157.60.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6