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Red270
694212.8
1218179.2
1626157.6
Blue429
316182.3
203142.7
7110139.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4372450200600800270429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 30.5
316
#27
182.30.0
182.3182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Second
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
red by 36.5
203
#7
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
Third
1626
#12
157.60.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
red by 17.6
7110
#22
139.90.0
139.9139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9