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Red414
303191.8
2539148.5
816124.9
Blue224
533165.1
271138.4
1089154.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37735705001,0001,5002,0002,500414224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#15
191.80.0
191.8191.8
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
red by 26.7
533
#9
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
Second
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
blue by 5.5
1089
#24
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
Third
816
#13
124.90.0
124.9124.9
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
blue by 13.5
271
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4