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Red362
225229.0
365192.3
6226127.7
Blue277
384178.4
2495126.4
2180140.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44623806008001,0001,200362277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.00.0
229.0229.0
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
red by 50.6
384
#11
178.40.0
178.4178.4
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
Second
365
#5
192.30.0
192.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
red by 51.8
2180
#19
140.40.0
140.4140.4
Auto18.4
Teleop108.1
End14.6
Third
6226
#14
127.70.0
127.7127.7
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 1.3
2495
#29
126.40.0
126.4126.4
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest odds51%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
71%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds