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Red383
694212.8
1218179.2
1626157.6
Blue188
303191.8
2539148.5
816124.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4432720200400600800383188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 21.0
303
#15
191.80.0
191.8191.8
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
Second
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
red by 30.7
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
Third
1626
#12
157.60.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
red by 32.6
816
#13
124.90.0
124.9124.9
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5