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Red308
5310128.2
1989138.0
3142121.2
Blue206
219134.1
4361131.2
11120.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293290200250350400308206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.00.3
137.2137.5
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
red by 3.9
219
#10
134.10.2
134.5134.3
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
Second
128.20.4
127.2127.5
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
blue by 2.9
131.20.4
130.5130.8
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Third
3142
#24
121.20.5
119.6120.1
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
red by 1.1
11
#31
120.20.5
119.3119.8
Auto13.4
Teleop92.7
End14.3